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Notes on the only question that matters in this business: is the thing actually working, or does it just feel like it is? Written from our own live data, including the parts that went badly.

4 September 2026

Closing line value explained, with real numbers

What CLV means, how to calculate it, and why it predicts long term results better than your win rate. Includes our own figures across 287 settled bets, including the market where the line moved against us two thirds of the time.

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More coming: league by league power ratings for Korean and Japanese baseball, and what two months of settled bets said about our own confidence.

18+. Educational content, not betting advice. Gambling can be addictive. Please play responsibly. Home · Public record · Behind the picks Follow: Telegram · X · Facebook · YouTube